Velocity Financial Llc Stock Analysis

VEL Stock  USD 20.28  0.22  1.07%   
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Velocity Financial Llc extending back to January 17, 2020. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Velocity Financial stands at 20.28, as last reported on the 4th of February, with the highest price reaching 20.60 and the lowest price hitting 20.18 during the day.
IPO Date
17th of January 2020
200 Day MA
18.3486
50 Day MA
19.3434
Beta
0.813
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Velocity Financial Llc has over 4.86 Billion in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing. At this time, Velocity Financial's Short and Long Term Debt Total is quite stable compared to the past year. Net Debt is expected to rise to about 5.8 B this year, although the value of Short and Long Term Debt will most likely fall to about 290.6 M. Velocity Financial's financial risk is the risk to Velocity Financial stockholders that is caused by an increase in debt.

Asset vs Debt

Equity vs Debt

Velocity Financial's liquidity is one of the most fundamental aspects of both its future profitability and its ability to meet different types of ongoing financial obligations. Velocity Financial's cash, liquid assets, total liabilities, and shareholder equity can be utilized to evaluate how much leverage the Company is using to sustain its current operations. For traders, higher-leverage indicators usually imply a higher risk to shareholders. In addition, it helps Velocity Stock's retail investors understand whether an upcoming fall or rise in the market will negatively affect Velocity Financial's stakeholders.
For many companies, including Velocity Financial, marketable securities, inventories, and receivables are the most common assets that could be converted to cash. However, for Velocity Financial Llc, the most critical issue when managing liquidity is ensuring that current assets are properly aligned with current liabilities. If they are not, Velocity Financial's management will need to obtain alternative financing to ensure there are always enough cash equivalents on the balance sheet to meet obligations.
Price Book
1.2573
Price Sales
3.4395
Shares Float
5.8 M
Wall Street Target Price
21.6667
Earnings Share
2.4
At this time, Velocity Financial's Liabilities And Stockholders Equity is quite stable compared to the past year. Sale Purchase Of Stock is expected to rise to about 16.3 M this year, although the value of Total Stockholder Equity will most likely fall to about 361 M. . At this time, Velocity Financial's Price To Book Ratio is quite stable compared to the past year. Price Cash Flow Ratio is expected to rise to 15.99 this year, although the value of Price To Sales Ratio will most likely fall to 1.45.
Velocity Financial Llc is undervalued with Real Value of 0.0 and Target Price of 21.67. The main objective of Velocity Financial stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Velocity Financial Llc is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Velocity Financial's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Velocity Financial stock is traded in the USA on New York Stock Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA.
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Velocity Financial Llc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in services.

Velocity Stock Analysis Notes

About 97.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.26. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Velocity Financial Llc had not issued any dividends in recent years. Velocity Financial, Inc. operates as a real estate finance company in the United States. Velocity Financial, Inc. was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Westlake Village, California. Velocity Financial operates under Mortgage Finance classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 215 people. For more information please call Christopher Farrar at 818 532 3700 or visit https://www.velfinance.com.

Velocity Financial Quarterly Total Revenue

172.29 Million

Velocity Financial Llc Investment Alerts

Velocity Financial is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 97.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 1573 shares by Mark Szczepaniak of Velocity Financial at 20.5287 subject to Rule 16b-3

Velocity Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Velocity Financial's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2020-11-11
2020-09-300.140.12-0.0214 
2023-05-04
2023-03-310.290.330.0413 
2021-11-03
2021-09-300.190.230.0421 
View All Earnings Estimates

Velocity Financial Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

Velocity Financial's ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Velocity Financial's performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Velocity Financial's operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Velocity Financial's stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

Velocity Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Aqr Capital Management Llc2025-06-30
25 K
Note, although Velocity Financial's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Velocity Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Small-Cap' category with a total capitalization of 788.89 M.

Velocity Profitablity

The company has Net Profit Margin of 0.4 %, which implies that it may need a different competitive strategy as even a very small decline in it revenue may erase profits and result in a net loss. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows Net Operating Margin of 0.65 %, which entails that for every 100 dollars of revenue, it generated $0.65 of operating income.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Capital Employed 0.02  0.02 
Return On Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Equity 0.12  0.13 

Management Efficiency

Velocity Financial Llc has Return on Asset of 0.015 % which means that on every $100 spent on assets, it made $0.015 of profit. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows a return on shareholders' equity (ROE) of 0.1618 %, implying that it generated $0.1618 on every 100 dollars invested. Velocity Financial's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Velocity Financial manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. At this time, Velocity Financial's Return On Tangible Assets are quite stable compared to the past year. Return On Assets is expected to rise to 0.01 this year, although the value of Return On Capital Employed will most likely fall to 0.02. At this time, Velocity Financial's Total Current Assets are quite stable compared to the past year. Return On Tangible Assets is expected to rise to 0.01 this year, although the value of Intangible Assets will most likely fall to about 8 M.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 14.34  8.34 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 13.77  8.13 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 49.83  62.56 
Price Book Value Ratio 1.42  2.38 
Enterprise Value Multiple 49.83  62.56 
Price Fair Value 1.42  2.38 
Enterprise Value1.7 B1.3 B
Velocity Financial Llc benefits from a proactive management team that anticipates market trends. Our analysis delves into how this proactive stance influences financial metrics and stock valuation.
Operating Margin
0.6483
Profit Margin
0.3961
Beta
0.813
Return On Assets
0.015
Return On Equity
0.1618

Technical Drivers

As of the 4th of February, Velocity Financial has the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.078, coefficient of variation of 1017.72, and Semi Deviation of 1.45. In relation to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model makes it possible for you to check existing technical drivers of Velocity Financial Llc, as well as the relationship between them. Please validate Velocity Financial Llc standard deviation, maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the Maximum Drawdown and expected short fall to decide if Velocity Financial is priced more or less accurately, providing market reflects its prevalent price of 20.28 per share. Given that Velocity Financial Llc has jensen alpha of 0.152, we advise you to double-check Velocity Financial Llc's current market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Velocity Financial Llc Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
The output start index for this execution was twenty-three with a total number of output elements of thirty-eight. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Velocity Financial middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Velocity Financial Llc. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Velocity Financial Llc Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Velocity Financial insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Velocity Financial's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Velocity Financial insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.
 
Mark Szczepaniak 2 days ago
Disposition of 1573 shares by Mark Szczepaniak of Velocity Financial at 20.5287 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Fiona Tam over a week ago
Disposition of 453 shares by Fiona Tam of Velocity Financial at 19. subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Fiona Tam over a week ago
Disposition of 541 shares by Fiona Tam of Velocity Financial at 19.53 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Mark Szczepaniak over two weeks ago
Disposition of 1573 shares by Mark Szczepaniak of Velocity Financial at 19.5085 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Fiona Tam over two weeks ago
Disposition of 681 shares by Fiona Tam of Velocity Financial at 18.7 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Jeffrey Taylor over a month ago
Disposition of 3049 shares by Jeffrey Taylor of Velocity Financial at 20.1338 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Roland Kelly over two months ago
Disposition of 6655 shares by Roland Kelly of Velocity Financial at 19.3787 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Mark Szczepaniak over two months ago
Disposition of 1572 shares by Mark Szczepaniak of Velocity Financial at 19.3442 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
John Pitstick over two months ago
Acquisition by John Pitstick of 10543 shares of Velocity Financial at 9.01 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Mark Szczepaniak over three months ago
Disposition of 1572 shares by Mark Szczepaniak of Velocity Financial at 18.5037 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Roland Kelly over three months ago
Acquisition by Roland Kelly of 100 shares of Velocity Financial at 15.86 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Jeffrey Taylor over three months ago
Disposition of 3087 shares by Jeffrey Taylor of Velocity Financial at 16.02 subject to Rule 16b-3

Velocity Financial Predictive Daily Indicators

Velocity Financial intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Velocity Financial stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Velocity Financial Corporate Filings

F4
2nd of February 2026
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
8K
30th of January 2026
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
8K
29th of January 2026
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
8K
26th of January 2026
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F4
22nd of January 2026
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
8K
20th of January 2026
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F4
16th of January 2026
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
15th of January 2026
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify

Velocity Financial Forecast Models

Velocity Financial's time-series forecasting models are one of many Velocity Financial's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Velocity Financial's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Velocity Financial Llc Debt to Cash Allocation

Many companies such as Velocity Financial, eventually find out that there is only so much market out there to be conquered, and adding the next product or service is only half as profitable per unit as their current endeavors. Eventually, the company will reach a point where cash flows are strong, and extra cash is available but not fully utilized. In this case, the company may start buying back its stock from the public or issue more dividends.
Velocity Financial Llc has 4.86 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 8.64, demonstrating that the company may be unable to create cash to meet all of its financial commitments. Velocity Financial Llc has a current ratio of 8.48, demonstrating that it is liquid and is capable to disburse its financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Velocity to invest in growth at high rates of return.

Velocity Financial Total Assets Over Time

Velocity Financial Assets Financed by Debt

The debt-to-assets ratio shows the degree to which Velocity Financial uses debt to finance its assets. It includes both long-term and short-term borrowings maturing within one year. It also includes both tangible and intangible assets, such as goodwill.

Velocity Financial Debt Ratio

    
  96.0   
It seems most of the Velocity Financial's assets are financed through debt. Typically, companies with high debt-to-asset ratios are said to be highly leveraged. The higher the ratio, the greater risk will be associated with the Velocity Financial's operation. In addition, a high debt-to-assets ratio may indicate a low borrowing capacity of Velocity Financial, which in turn will lower the firm's financial flexibility.

Velocity Short Long Term Debt Total

Short Long Term Debt Total

5.87 Billion

At this time, Velocity Financial's Short and Long Term Debt Total is quite stable compared to the past year.

About Velocity Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Velocity Financial prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Velocity shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Velocity Financial. By using and applying Velocity Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Velocity entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin 0.18  0.13 
Operating Profit Margin 0.23  0.33 
Net Profit Margin 0.13  0.09 
Gross Profit Margin 0.50  0.53 

Current Velocity Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Velocity analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Velocity analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceConsensus# of Analysts
21.67Buy3Odds
Velocity Financial Llc current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Velocity analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Velocity stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Velocity Financial Llc, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Velocity conference calls.
Velocity Analyst Advice Details

Velocity Stock Analysis Indicators

Velocity Financial Llc stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Velocity Financial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Velocity Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Velocity Financial stock analysis, traders can identify Velocity Financial position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow61.9 M
Total Stockholder Equity516.9 M
Property Plant And Equipment Net4.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments50.1 M
Cash50.1 M
50 Day M A19.3434
Net Interest Income142.3 M
Total Current Liabilities495.9 M
Investments-1 B
Interest Expense247.2 M
Stock Based Compensation6.2 M
Long Term Debt4.5 B
Common Stock Shares Outstanding35.8 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-1 B
Tax Provision27.9 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.485
Other Current Assets2.1 M
Accounts Payable147.8 M
Net Debt4.8 B
Other Operating Expenses386.4 M
Non Current Assets Total5.3 B
Liabilities And Stockholders Equity5.5 B
Non Currrent Assets Other89.9 M
When determining whether Velocity Financial Llc is a strong investment it is important to analyze Velocity Financial's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Velocity Financial's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Velocity Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Velocity Financial Llc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in services.
You can also try the Equity Search module to search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets.
Is Commercial & Residential Mortgage Finance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Velocity Financial. If investors know Velocity will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Velocity Financial assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.485
Earnings Share
2.4
Revenue Per Share
6.471
Quarterly Revenue Growth
1.623
Return On Assets
0.015
Investors evaluate Velocity Financial Llc using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Velocity Financial's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Velocity Financial's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Velocity Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Velocity Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Velocity Financial's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.